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Social Security Expected remaining life tables

  • 1.  Social Security Expected remaining life tables

    Posted 07-22-2024 00:07
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     Dear Section members, 

     I'm sure many section members learned about the Social Security Actuarial "expected remaining life tables"

    One enters date of birth and gender

    here's the link 

    https://www.ssa.gov/oact/population/longevity.html

    rather than my own age and D.O.B. 

    I  plugged in a fictitious Birthdate of January 1, 1960 for a male results in this table (attached as a jpg)

    I have two questions

    q1

    Does anyone know whether confidence intervals are available somewhere?

    At Age Additional Life Expectancy
    (in years)
    Estimated Total Years

    64 and 6 monthsa 19.6 84.1

    and 

    Q2

    And its been a long time since we studied these in graduate school. I didn't find any citations in the tables themselves.

    I believe the expected remaining life is computed using Chiang's methods?

    https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10498577/

    3. Chiang CL. Variance and covariance of life table functions estimated from a sample of deaths. Washington: National Center for Health Statistics; 1967. pp. 1–7. [PubMed] []
    4. Chiang CL. Life table and mortality analysis. Geneva: World Health Organization; 1979. pp. 1–399. []

    -thank you



    ------------------------------
    Chris Barker, Ph.D.
    Past Chair
    Statistical Consulting Section
    Consultant and
    Adjunct Associate Professor of Biostatistics
    www.barkerstats.com


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