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  • 1.  Chose your own title for this item of information

    Posted 08-01-2025 21:52

    This recent item of information: Trump fires commissioner of labor statistics after weaker-than-expected jobs figures slam markets

    Can be read and interpreted as we did with the Rorschach inkblot test, to assess personality and psychological characteristics. 

    Enjoy and keep safe/jorge.



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    Jorge L. Romeu
    Emeritus SUNY Faculty
    Adjunct Professor, Syracuse U.
    https://web.cortland.edu/romeu/
    https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Jorge_Romeu
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  • 2.  RE: Chose your own title for this item of information

    Posted 08-04-2025 17:33

    An action straight out of the authoritarian playbook of a wannabe "president for life". I post here the response from the American Association for Public Opinion Research through its president Jordon Peugh. Have I missed the ASA's response?

    Cheers - Dominic

    August 2, 2025

    On behalf of the American Association for Public Opinion Research (AAPOR), we write to express deep concern regarding the removal of the Commissioner of the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), Erika McEntarfer, in response to the recent downward revisions in job numbers for May and June. In a robust and transparent statistical system, corrections are an inherent and expected part of the measurement process. As a professional association dedicated to the integrity and quality of research and data collection, AAPOR emphasizes that sound statistical systems must be able to revise and improve upon earlier estimates without political interference. Revisions to employment data occur routinely and are the result of additional reports received from businesses and government agencies, as well as ongoing refinements in seasonal adjustments. These processes are not signs of failure; they are essential features of a scientific approach to national measurement.

     

    It is appropriate to ask whether current methodologies remain robust, and whether they need refinement in light of observed anomalies. Continuous evaluation and modernization of our statistical systems are vital to maintaining public trust. If flaws in the process are identified, new or improved methods should be considered. However, when the established and transparent procedures are followed, as is believed to be the case here, revisions alone are not valid grounds for personnel changes.

    Undermining statistical leadership in response to expected and disclosed revisions risks politicizing federal statistics and damaging the credibility of institutions whose independence is foundational to democracy and good governance. We echo the sentiments expressed by the Data Foundation in their recent statement: trust in federal statistics is preserved not through perfection, but through transparency, methodological rigor, and a willingness to update and revise in full public view. 

     

    We urge that any concerns with the employment data revisions be addressed through a nonpartisan, professional review of the measurement process and its continued suitability-not through punitive actions against those who have followed established protocols. A careful and evidence-based investigation into the methodology and operations of the BLS is the proper step to safeguard both accuracy and public confidence.

     

    AAPOR stands ready to assist in promoting data integrity and supporting efforts to ensure our federal statistical agencies continue to operate with independence, transparency, and professionalism.



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    Dominic Lusinchi
    Independent researcher & consultant (retired)
    San Francisco, Calif.
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  • 3.  RE: Chose your own title for this item of information

    Posted 08-04-2025 21:23

    Thank you, Dominick, for the message from Jordon Peugh, President of the American Association for Public Opinion Research. It is very illustrative. And no, I have not read any similar reply from the President of the ASA.



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    Jorge L. Romeu
    Emeritus SUNY Faculty
    Adjunct Professor, Syracuse U.
    https://web.cortland.edu/romeu/
    https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Jorge_Romeu
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  • 4.  RE: Chose your own title for this item of information

    Posted 08-05-2025 10:09

    All good points here.  Note also that the same kind of thing is happening in public health, and probably many other areas.  CDC also seems to be suppressing information on emerging avian influenza on farms. 

    Let's also be clear that we know what it takes to have trustworthy statistical data.  The Committee on National Statistics recently published the 8th edition of Principles and Practices for a Federal Statistical Agency, which demonstrates the invaluable role that relevant, timely, accurate, and trustworthy government statistics play in a democratic system of government, and to provides support and guidance to the federal agencies that produce them.  Critically, Principle #4 is independence from political and other undue external influence.

    Let's hope that not just the ASA president but the entire organization follow AAPOR's lead and publish a strong statement.



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    Michael A. Stoto, PhD
    Professor Emeritus, Department of Health Management and Policy, Georgetown University
    Adjunct Professor of Biostatistics, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health
    e-mail: mike.stoto@gmail.com
    mike.stoto@gmail.com
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  • 5.  RE: Chose your own title for this item of information

    Posted 08-05-2025 11:11

    Thanks, Michael, for your contribution and information. I agree with you that the ASA President should add its voice to those already expressed, regarding this issue, based upon two very important points.

    First, the ASA is part of Civil Society, which unfortunately has been somewhat absent in the public life of our country. And secondly, our system of governance divides offices into political (such as the President's) and technical (such as BLS and the Federal Reserve). It would be improper for, say Jerome Powell, to tell the President how to conduct his Immigration policies. By the same token, it is also improper for the President to criticize technical issues of the BLS, let alone fire the BLS boss because he does not like BLS findings.

    Many centuries ago, it was customary to chop off the heads of emissaries that carried bad news (Shooting the messenger - Wikipedia). I don't think we want to go back to these times.

    Keep safe/jorge.



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    Jorge L. Romeu
    Emeritus SUNY Faculty
    Adjunct Professor, Syracuse U.
    https://web.cortland.edu/romeu/
    https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Jorge_Romeu
    ------------------------------



  • 6.  RE: Chose your own title for this item of information

    Posted 09-03-2025 15:13

    Dear colleagues,

    I am sorry to have delayed so long in thanking Ron Silverstein for his statement on the firing of BLS Labor Statistic Commissioner McEntarfer and thanking others for the good discussion that ensued.

    I would simply like to add to the very good comments back on August 2-5 my concern that subversion of statistical reporting by defunding, underfunding, or refusal to investigate crucial issues is as problematic as outright suppression of statistical reporting the administration does not favor.

    I have been involved on an advisory committee for a CDC funded initiative to address the problem of avian flu among farmworkers.  The research and discussions to date have, despite, a limited budget, been very useful in thinking through the methodologies needed for effective surveillance and response but are unlikely to be implemented without adequate funding for well-designed and implemented ongoing research.

    This is simply one of many public health and myriad other pressing research initiatives that will be threatened in FY 26.  I hope we can all be vigilant and vocal, not only in opposing suppression of statistical research findings but monitoring subversion and data quality via reductions in funding and/or hostile political intervention as we now see at CDC.



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    Edward Kissam
    Werner-Kohnstamm Family Giving Fund
    edkissam@me.com
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  • 7.  RE: Chose your own title for this item of information

    Posted 08-05-2025 12:06

    Hi All - Ron Wasserstein, ASA executive director, issued a strong statement on LinkedIn, August 2:

    Friday's firing of Commissioner of Labor Statistics Erika McEntarfer is calamitous. The firing undermines Americans' trust in federal statistics, with adverse ramifications for the broad swath of decisions that these data inform, affecting all Americans. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) statistics are key inputs to far-reaching public and private policy decisions that have immediate and wide-reaching implications with continuing impacts on the economy
    .
    Further, firing a federal statistics official out of dislike for what official statistics indicate is tantamount to blaming your doctor for your diagnosis. The rigor, checks, and care that go into the production of official statistics are extensive, transparent, long respected, and used across administrations. Presidents may not like the statistics but have respected them.

    We have utmost confidence in Commissioner McEntarfer's integrity and qualifications. Indeed, the Senate confirmed McEntarfer to be commissioner in a bipartisan 86-8 vote. We also have confidence in the veracity of the latest job numbers and commend the dedicated, committed, and talented BLS staff who work tirelessly to produce official statistics with commitment to accuracy and objectivity.

    The public needs to be able to trust federal statistics, whether they be measures of our economy, crime, health, or the myriad other topics the federal statistical system covers, and to be confident the numbers have not been altered in any way. Public trust in federal statistics helps the administration, Congress, governors and state legislatures, business leaders and others as they work to gain support of their policies.

    We also second the Friends of BLS call on Congress "to respond immediately, to investigate the factors that led to Commissioner McEntarfer's removal, to strongly urge the Commissioner's continued service, and ensure that the nonpartisan integrity of the position is retained."

    With this firing, the United States is headed down the path taken by Greece and Argentina following their persecution of statistical leaders. That path led to uncertainty in the state of their economies by the world community, which exacerbated their economic challenges. Faltering trust in US economic statistics by the international community and private sector will have untold consequences for the financial health and economic well-being of the nation and the world.

    (99+) Post | LinkedIn



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    Constance Citro
    Senior Scholar
    Committee on National Statistics
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