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Probabilistic Forecast for the World Cup

  • 1.  Probabilistic Forecast for the World Cup

    Posted 05-08-2018 13:12
    Forwarding the message:

    ---------- Forwarded message ----------
    From: Márcio Diniz <marcio.alves.diniz@gmail.com>
    Date: 2018-05-07 17:27 GMT-03:00
    Subject: Probabilistic Forecast for the World Cup

    Hi,

    We'd like to announce our website fifaexperts.com where you can submit
    YOUR probabilistic forecast for all the matches of the next World Cup,
    which begins next June.

    The forecasts will be scored by (a linear function of) the Brier
    score, and the best forecaster will be the one with more points after
    the end of the championship.

    You can create or join a league to compete against your friends and
    it's not necessary to submit forecasts for all the matches.

    The objectives of the website are strictly academic/educational so,
    participation is costless.

    Have fun!

    Regards,

    Marcio Diniz & team

    Department of Statistics
    Federal University of S. Carlos, Brazil.