Modeling in Support of Defense and National Security - Contributed Papers Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security Monday 8/10/2015, 8:30 AM - 10:20 AM Chair(s): John Rigsby, Naval Surface Warfare Center 8:35 AM Latent variable models for aging effects on reliability of one-shot devices - David Collins 8:50 AM Petri Net Models of Adversarial Scenarios in Safety and Security - Aparna Huzurbazar, Los Alamos National Laboratory ; David Collins 9:05 AM Enhancing Emergency Response with a Data-Driven Approach to Radiation Visualization Parameter Selection - Marylesa Howard, National Security Technologies, LLC ; Thomas McCullough, National Security Technologies, LLC ; Ashlee Dailey, National Security Technologies, LLC ; Johanna Turk, National Security Technologies, LLC ; Doug Hague, National Security Technologies, LLC ; Michael Mazur, National Security Technologies, LLC ; Aaron Luttman, National Security Technologies, LLC 9:20 AM Exact Sample Size for Special Nuclear Material Inventory Verification - James Wendelberger, Los Alamos National Laboratory 9:35 AM Estimating Positive Parameters using Fixed- Accuracy Confidence Interval Methods With Applications in Health and Environment - Swarnali Banerjee, Old Dominion University ; Nitis Mukhopadhyay, University of Connecticut 9:50 AM Presenting Complex Statistical Methodologies to Military Leadership: Tricks of the Trade and Lessons Learned - Yevgeniya Pinelis, CNA Center for Naval Analyses ; Paul Johnson, Marine Corps Operational Test and Evaluation Activity 10:05 AM Empirical research on a new procedure for identifying relevant documents from a digital forensics text string search - Michael Sanchez, UTSA ; Daijin Ko, UTSA Improving Analysis of Defense Systems using Statistical Methods - Contributed Papers Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security Tuesday 8/11/2015, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM Chair(s): Elizabeth Leeds Hohman, Naval Surface Warfare Center 10:35 AM Bayesian Hierarchical Models for Common Components across Multiple System Configurations - Kassie Fronczyk, Institute for Defense Analyses ; Rebecca Dickinson, Institute for Defense Analyses ; Alyson Wilson, North Carolina State University ; Caleb Browning, North Carolina State University ; Laura Freeman, IDA 10:50 AM A Bayesian Reliability Growth Grounded Assurance Test - Rebecca Dickinson, Institute for Defense Analyses ; Kassie Fronczyk, Institute for Defense Analyses ; Alyson Wilson, North Carolina State University ; Caleb Browning, North Carolina State University ; Laura Freeman, IDA 11:05 AM Ordinal Response Variables Observed Continuously Over Time: Data from Shadow, Gray Eagle, and OSRVT - Matthew Avery, Institute for Defense Analyses 11:20 AM Best practices for statistically validating modeling and simulation (M&S) tools used in operational testing - Kelly McGinnity, Institute for Defense Analyses ; Rebecca Dickinson, Institute for Defense Analyses ; Laura Freeman, IDA 11:35 AM Experimental Design and Statistical Analysis: Improving testing of the AN/BQQ-10 Submarine Sonar System - Laura Freeman, IDA 11:50 AM Convergence of Different Computationally Efficient Approximations of the Weight of the Forensic Evidence - Christopher Saunders, South Dakota State University ; Danica M Ommen, South Dakota State University ; Cedric Neumann, South Dakota State University 12:05 PM A Statistical Approach to Crime Linkage - Michael Porter, University of Alabama More information about these events, other contributed sessions, and oral presentations where the SNDS is a sponsor or co-sponsor can be found in the link below