The San Diego Chapter of the American Statistical Association announces its
Annual Business Meeting
Associate Professor of Statistics, San Diego State University
Nonlinear Models and Prediction Intervals for Plankton Ecosystem Dynamics
Time: 6:00PM to 8:00PM, April 23, 2015 (Thursday)
Location: Building CB2/1110, Pfizer La Jolla Campus,
10770 Science Center Drive, San Diego, CA 92121
The meeting, including dinner, are free to all San Diego Chapter members. Nonmember price: $5.00 students/retirees, $10 everyone else.
Included in this year’s Business Meeting:
- Chapter news updates
- Keynote presentation by Dr. Barbara Bailey
Time series of physical and biological properties of the ocean are a valuable resource for developing models for ecological forecasting and ecosystem-based management. We describe the development of a nonlinear model that predicts the abundance of the important zooplankton species Calanus finmarchicus from hydrographic data from the Gulf of Maine. Forecasts are constructed for the model fit to 1978-2003 bimonthly data and corresponding forecasts intervals are obtained by the stationary bootstrap. The properties of the distribution free prediction intervals based on the stationary bootstrap will be investigated. The results of neural network model fits, forecasts, and forecast intervals to nonlinear time series data generated from the Rossler nonlinear dynamical system will be presented.
Directions and parking: A map of Pfizer and parking information can be found here.
Please RSVP via email to Patricia English: firstname.lastname@example.org