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Hodrickick-Prescott Filter for time series

  • 1.  Hodrickick-Prescott Filter for time series

    Posted 10-25-2016 14:30

    Hello,

    I am exploring the use of Digital Signal Processing methods in business time series analysis. I took up Hodrick-Prescott (HP) filter as my first case for no particular reason. I come across different reviews about the use of HP filter some favoring its use and some not favoring.

    I understand that HP filter suffers from

    • Inability to handle out liers, abrupt changes, and non-normal noise
    • Arbitrary choice of the smoothing parameter λ
    • Need for future values in forecasting
    • Unstable behavior at the end of the series and hence ARIMA may be used to improve end-point estimation
    • Introduces spurious cycles

    I want to understand why HP filter is popularly used in economic time series analysis in spite of the above drawbacks?  Are there any strengths that makes a compelling case? I will appreciate any guidance in this regard.

    Thanks,

    Vasu

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    Vasudevan Raghavan
    Software Technology Analyst
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