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  • 1.  Quasquicentennial of Note

    Posted 02-15-2015 21:43
    This message has been cross posted to the following eGroups: Statistical Education Section and ASA Connect .
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    Tuesday marks the 125th anniversary of the birth of Sir Ronald A. Fisher (17 February 1890 - 29 July 1962)




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    David Bernklau
    (David Bee on Internet)
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  • 2.  RE: Quasquicentennial of Note

    Posted 02-16-2015 11:25
    David: Glad you brought this up. Fisher was controversial in some ways, but truly a towering figure in terms of his impact on our modern world. It's a shame that he remains virtually unknown to the general public.I hope this can be remedied somehow. I think the story of his life and achievements would make a movie on par with those about Turing and Hawking.

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    Herbert Weisberg
    President
    Causalytics, LLC
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  • 3.  RE: Quasquicentennial of Note

    Posted 02-17-2015 16:32

    Herbert: Thanks for your words. Fisher did get a slight boost in fame about 15 years ago with the publication of David Salsburg's book The Lady Tasting Tea: How Statistics Revolutionized Science In The Twentieth Century. As it has been over 35 years since Fisher's biography, R. A. Fisher: The Life of a Scientist, was published (written by one of his daughters, Joan Fisher Box), maybe Wiley will republish it so someone in Hollywood will take note and search for an actor who could play Fisher...;^)


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    David Bernklau
    (David Bee on Internet)
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  • 4.  RE: Quasquicentennial of Note

    Posted 02-16-2015 22:06


    Sir Ronald A. Fisher, FRS, 17 February 1890 - 29 July 1962

    Ronald Fisher, usually regarded as the "Father of Statistics", was born 125 years ago today in London, one of seven children and the second of twins, but the other was still-born. In 1904, at age 14, Ronald entered a renowned school, Harrow, but it was a difficult time for him as his Mother passed away. Despite this he went on to excel at the school, leading to his matriculation at Cambridge in 1909.

    Although he formally studied mathematics and astronomy at Cambridge, he was also keenly interested in biology. He graduated in 1912 with a BA in Astronomy, and continued to focus on George Biddell Airy's manual Theory of Errors. (G.B. Airy was a major contributor to Math and Astronomy.) It was Fisher's interest in such that eventually led him to investigate statistical problems.

    After leaving Cambridge, Fisher had no means of financial support and so worked for a few months on a Canadian farm. Returning to London, he took up a post as a "statistician" in the Mercantile and General Investment Company. When war broke out in 1914 he enthusiastically tried to enlist in the army, but his A1 health was done in by his poor eyesight, and so he was rejected. [Perhaps Fisher's myopia was the main factor in his developing a deep multidimensional geometric-space sense.] He became a teacher of mathematics at various schools between 1915 and 1919.

    Fisher married, in 1917 at age 27, Ruth Eileen Grattan-Guiness, who was only a few days past her 17th birthday at the time. The Fishers went on to have two sons and seven daughters, one of whom died in infancy and one who lost his life in World War II. (Fisher's daughter Joan married well-known statistician George E.P. Box and wrote a biography of her father, R.A. Fisher: The Life of a Scientist, which was published in 1978.)

    Fisher left secondary-school teaching in 1919 when he was offered two positions simultaneously. Karl Pearson offered him the post of Chief Statistician at the Galton Lab and he was also offered the post of Statistician at the Rothamsted Agricultural Experiment Station, which appealed to Fisher's interest in farming. He accepted the latter, also in part because of anticipating conflicts with Pearson. While at RAES, he went on to make many big contributions to both statistics and genetics, such as in the design and analysis of experiments, resulting in the big concepts of randomization and ANOVA. (Such is covered in Chapter 5 of David Salsburg's book The Lady Tasting Tea.)

    In 1921, Fisher introduced the concept of likelihood, leading to his maximum-likelihood estimation the following year. His first book, in 1925, Statistical Methods for Research Workers, ran to many editions extending throughout his life, and for many years was the top-selling book in science in the world. (It was translated into French, Italian, Spanish, German, Japanese, Russian, and a few other languages.) As SMRW did not contain derivations, proofs, and other theoretical math, it was accessible to the biologists and others in the scientific community, becoming a standard reference work.

    Ten years after the initial publication of SMRW Fisher added another classic reference, the expected The Design of Experiments.

    When Pearson retired as Galton Professor at University College London in 1933, Fisher was appointed his successor, with such split in two between Fisher and Pearson's son Egon, who became close to Jerzy Neyman, whose new approach to significance testing was anathema to Fisher.

    Ten years after the appointment Fisher went back to Cambridge to become Arthur Balfour Professor of Genetics. He investigated the linkage of genes for different traits and developed methods of multivariate analysis to deal with such.

    L.J. Savage recalled, "I occasionally meet geneticists who ask me whether it is true that the great geneticist R.A. Fisher was also an important statistician"! In reviewing Salsburg's book The Lady Tasting Tea [the title referring to a cute experiment by Fisher], Bradley Efron, Professor of Statistics at Stanford and creator of the Bootstrap, writes, "Particularly well told [in the book] is the story of Ronald Fisher, the double genius who founded both mathematical statistics and mathematical genetics. If scientists were judged by their influence on science then Fisher would rank with Einstein and Pauling at the top of the modern ladder."

    The accolades started late for Fisher. He was elected Fellow of the Royal Society in 1929, awarded its Royal Medal in 1938, its Darwin Medal in 1948, and its Copley Medal in 1955. In addition, he was elected to the American Academy of Arts and Sciences in 1934 and the U.S. National Academy of Sciences in 1948. He received the Guy Medal from the Royal Statistical Society in 1946. (As Salsburg points out near the beginning of his book, appropriately titled "Fisher Triumphant", Fisher, despite his profound statistical contributions in the 1920s, was in "virtual isolation" then, with the RSS finally first recognizing him in December 1934 by inviting him to present a paper, "an honor reserved for only the most prominent workers in the field". Interestingly, this occurred six months after Neyman presented his paper to the RSS, titled "On the Two Different Aspects of the Representative Method: The Method of Stratified Sampling and The Method of Purposive Selection", which was probably the groundbreaking paper in probability sampling and gave us the term "confidence interval".)

    Also, the R.A. Fisher Lectureship is sponsored by the ASA and given at the Joint Statistical Meetings. [William G. Cochran gave the first one in 1972.]

    Various institutions awarded him an honorary degree, including Harvard (in 1936), University of Calcutta (1938), University of London (1946), University of Glasgow (1947), University of Adelaide (1959), University of Leeds (1961), and the Indian Statistical Institute (1962).

    Fisher was knighted by the Queen in 1952.

                                                                        Twenty-Five Terms Due to Sir Ronald A. Fisher

     

                                                                          Term                                               First Used

                                                                          variance                                            1918a

                                                                          analysis of variance                          1918b

                                                                          likelihood                                           1921

                                                                         maximum likelihood                           1922a

                                                                         parameter                                          1922a

                                                                        statistic                                               1922a

                                                                        consistency                                        1922a

                                                                        efficiency                                            1922a

                                                                        sufficiency                                          1922a

                                                                        degrees of freedom                            1922b

                                                                        Student's t, t                                       1924

                                                                        z-distribution                                       1924

                                                                        test of significance                             1925a

                                                                        level of significance                           1925a

                                                                       sufficient statistic                                1925b

                                                                       randomization                                     1926

                                                                       randomized blocks                             1926

                                                                       confounding                                       1926

                                                                       interaction                                          1926

                                                                      sampling distribution                           1928

                                                                      covariance                                          1930

                                                                      Greco-Latin square (with F. Yates)  1934

                                                                      null hypothesis                                 1935

                                                                      Yates's correction for continuity       1936

                                                                      normal score (with F. Yates)            1938

     Notes: 1. Credit for the above should go to H.A. David, Distinguished Professor Emeritus of Statistics, Iowa State University, from whose two articles in the May1995
                   and February 1998 issues of The American Statistician the above were compiled.
              
    2. The a and b with a year indicates different papers by Fisher within the year.
              
    3. The "z-distribution" in the 1924 paper is not the normal distribution but likely either the (now-named) F dist. or some pre-F distribution.

     
    [Note: Originally posted in the APStat Community.]

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    David Bernklau
    (David Bee on Internet)
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  • 5.  RE: Quasquicentennial of Note

    Posted 02-17-2015 20:53
    Thank you so much, David Bernklau, for reminding us of this anniversary, and for the nice Fisher's biography in brief.

    Considering Fisher's tremendous impact on all of Science, especially with his «Design of Experiments» masterwork, he should have received a Nobel Prize in all the Nobel scientific disciplines... Truly revolutionary!

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    Marc Bourdeau
    Ecole Polytechnique
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