ASA Connect

Some state government authorities, such as NYS, have created web sites with useful Covid-19 Data:
https://forward.ny.gov/regional-monitoring-dashboard 

And some of us have used this Data to implement statistical analyses with it, that could provide insight to other scientists:
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/341385856_Multivariate_Stats_PC_Discrimination_in_the_Analysis_of_Covid-19 

What state government authorities have not done yet, is to create an email address of an office, where statisticians can send these analyses, and they can be reviewed and used by the scientific community and state government authorities to help combat this Pandemic.

Such offices and review procedures would be helpful to the policymakers and scientific organizations, as there are many qualified statisticians (and other science professionals) out there, who could provide useful input to help find a solution to this collective, international problem.

------------------------------
Jorge L. Romeu
Emeritus Faculty; SUNY
Adjunct Professor, Syracuse.
------------------------------

If we could get statistics on data quality that would be crucial.
From the viewpoint of national health, we have very shaky statistical quality.
I base this on my experience working with cancer reporting and with Medicare health data, in which we
found that we had to implement complicated and difficult algorithms simply to define the prevalence of heart conditions,  or the actual incidence of cancer.
Our system pays for procedures (tests, operations, etc.) not for accurate diagnoses.  We get what we pay for.



------------------------------
Elizabeth Smith
Statistician
------------------------------

Original Message:
Sent: 05-18-2020 12:10
From: Jorge Romeu
Subject: About Statistical Analysis of Covid-19 Data

Some state government authorities, such as NYS, have created web sites with useful Covid-19 Data:
https://forward.ny.gov/regional-monitoring-dashboard

And some of us have used this Data to implement statistical analyses with it, that could provide insight to other scientists:
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/341385856_Multivariate_Stats_PC_Discrimination_in_the_Analysis_of_Covid-19

What state government authorities have not done yet, is to create an email address of an office, where statisticians can send these analyses, and they can be reviewed and used by the scientific community and state government authorities to help combat this Pandemic.

Such offices and review procedures would be helpful to the policymakers and scientific organizations, as there are many qualified statisticians (and other science professionals) out there, who could provide useful input to help find a solution to this collective, international problem.

------------------------------
Jorge L. Romeu
Emeritus Faculty; SUNY
Adjunct Professor, Syracuse.
------------------------------

Alice correctly says: "Our system pays for procedures (tests, operations, etc.) not for accurate diagnoses.  We get what we pay for."

We had a similar situation, some 35 years ago, when I was a Statistician at the DACS (Data Analysis Center for SW) and the RAC (Reliability Analysis Center; two IACs operated by IIT Research Institute in Rome NY). They collected development data for modeling and analysis. However, SW programmers were not paid to fill data forms, but to write Code! So, the SW data was quite defective. A similar situation occurred with the HW data. Our solution was to implement non-parametric procedures to the analysis of such messy data: https://web.cortland.edu/matresearch/SWEngPapCompsac1984.pdf and  https://web.cortland.edu/romeu/RAMSPaper.pdf and to try to "educate" the sources in improving their data collection methodology.

------------------------------
Jorge L. Romeu
Emeritus Faculty, SUNY
Adjunct Professor, Syracuse U.
------------------------------

Original Message:
Sent: 05-18-2020 22:37
From: Elizabeth Smith
Subject: About Statistical Analysis of Covid-19 Data

If we could get statistics on data quality that would be crucial.
From the viewpoint of national health, we have very shaky statistical quality.
I base this on my experience working with cancer reporting and with Medicare health data, in which we
found that we had to implement complicated and difficult algorithms simply to define the prevalence of heart conditions,  or the actual incidence of cancer.
Our system pays for procedures (tests, operations, etc.) not for accurate diagnoses.  We get what we pay for.



------------------------------
Elizabeth Smith
Statistician

Original Message:
Sent: 05-18-2020 12:10
From: Jorge Romeu
Subject: About Statistical Analysis of Covid-19 Data

Some state government authorities, such as NYS, have created web sites with useful Covid-19 Data:
https://forward.ny.gov/regional-monitoring-dashboard

And some of us have used this Data to implement statistical analyses with it, that could provide insight to other scientists:
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/341385856_Multivariate_Stats_PC_Discrimination_in_the_Analysis_of_Covid-19

What state government authorities have not done yet, is to create an email address of an office, where statisticians can send these analyses, and they can be reviewed and used by the scientific community and state government authorities to help combat this Pandemic.

Such offices and review procedures would be helpful to the policymakers and scientific organizations, as there are many qualified statisticians (and other science professionals) out there, who could provide useful input to help find a solution to this collective, international problem.

------------------------------
Jorge L. Romeu
Emeritus Faculty; SUNY
Adjunct Professor, Syracuse.
------------------------------

Good discussion on the availability of COVID-19 Data. Here's what we have so far at ICPSR in our new COVID-19 Data Repository: https://www.openicpsr.org/openicpsr/search/covid19/studies

------------------------------
Margaret Levenstein
------------------------------

Original Message:
Sent: 05-18-2020 12:10
From: Jorge Romeu
Subject: About Statistical Analysis of Covid-19 Data

Some state government authorities, such as NYS, have created web sites with useful Covid-19 Data:
https://forward.ny.gov/regional-monitoring-dashboard

And some of us have used this Data to implement statistical analyses with it, that could provide insight to other scientists:
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/341385856_Multivariate_Stats_PC_Discrimination_in_the_Analysis_of_Covid-19

What state government authorities have not done yet, is to create an email address of an office, where statisticians can send these analyses, and they can be reviewed and used by the scientific community and state government authorities to help combat this Pandemic.

Such offices and review procedures would be helpful to the policymakers and scientific organizations, as there are many qualified statisticians (and other science professionals) out there, who could provide useful input to help find a solution to this collective, international problem.

------------------------------
Jorge L. Romeu
Emeritus Faculty; SUNY
Adjunct Professor, Syracuse.
------------------------------

Hi Everyone,

I agree that statistical analysis of the Covid-19 data is incredibly important.  Some colleagues of mine in Qatar built a model for that country.  Since it is a small country and most of the population lives in one city and it is under blockade at the moment it is a rather isolated community.  We just posted our work on ArXiv and submitted it to Letters in Biomathematics.  If anyone wants to see how we tackled the problem using a SEIRD model with a Bayesian flavor, here is the link.

http://arxiv.org/abs/2005.12777

Any feedback would be greatly appreciated.  Note that we didn't do every possible analysis since we were trying to get something out fast to keep it timely.

Thanks,

Ed

------------------------------
Edward L. Boone
Professor of Statistics
Virginia Commonwealth University
------------------------------

Original Message:
Sent: 05-18-2020 12:10
From: Jorge Romeu
Subject: About Statistical Analysis of Covid-19 Data

Some state government authorities, such as NYS, have created web sites with useful Covid-19 Data:
https://forward.ny.gov/regional-monitoring-dashboard

And some of us have used this Data to implement statistical analyses with it, that could provide insight to other scientists:
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/341385856_Multivariate_Stats_PC_Discrimination_in_the_Analysis_of_Covid-19

What state government authorities have not done yet, is to create an email address of an office, where statisticians can send these analyses, and they can be reviewed and used by the scientific community and state government authorities to help combat this Pandemic.

Such offices and review procedures would be helpful to the policymakers and scientific organizations, as there are many qualified statisticians (and other science professionals) out there, who could provide useful input to help find a solution to this collective, international problem.

------------------------------
Jorge L. Romeu
Emeritus Faculty; SUNY
Adjunct Professor, Syracuse.
------------------------------