Dear Malcolm, Jacob, and Rebecca,
Malcolm, by now you've seen the post and photo of the plaque honoring Gosset. The plaque is
displayed in The Barley Room of the Storehouse, on the back wall. I was a member of the group at
IBS 2008 who advocated for the plaque. Guinness (Diageo), IBC, and members of the Irish
Statistical Society gathered together with 5 of Gosset's grandchildren and grandnephews
and nieces for the unveiling.
(BTW the plaque has at least three errors: Gosset was "Head Brewer", not chief; his famous test is called
"Student's" t-test, not Student t; and he worked as an experimental brewer, agronomer, and statistician--
not as a chemist. I have lobbied for change but not yet with success!)
Guinness (Diageo) is well aware of their great scientist and pioneering statistician. At IBS 2008
there was a special session on the centenary of "Student's" t, with over 300 attendees. Talks were
given by David Cox, Stephen Senn, James Hanley and me (Stephen Ziliak). Guinness archivists
were quite helpful in making that session a reality.
In 2011, at the European Historical Economics Society meetings, I gave a keynote on "Guinnessometrics"
in the old Fermentation Room of the Guinness Storehouse, with lots of support from Guinness (Diageo).
(see the link, below)
Jacob, I don't understand the sarcasm behind your "not exactly Watson and Crick" comparison.
(And I note that you didn't mention the highly empirical Rosalind Franklin, without whom W&C had little:
see the excellent bio by Brenda Maddox, for example, detailing W&C's exploitation of Franklin's findings
and gender.)
I have been working in the Gosset archives since 2005, and find a quite different story to be true.
Yes, Gosset was a major scientist, a major scientist who happened to invent or inspire half of modern
statistics during the course of his work. I have written extensively about Gosset and "Guinnessometrics" in
a number of articles and in my book (with Deirdre McCloskey),
The Cult of Statistical Significance.
Most of the second hand histories after Fisher have been wrong about Gosset. My work attempts to
correct those errors, with implications for today's practice (design of experiments, statistical significance
testing, replication, reproduction, economic approach to real error estimation, etc). Your pint of Guinness
might feel like magic but that's in reality the magic of great science.
Many people have been led to believe the rumor that Gosset and other Guinness researchers were not
allowed to publish. That is plain false, as I show in my work. In truth, Gosset and colleagues were sent
occasionally on sabbatical to up their research game, and Guinness allowed Gosset and others to work
on publications during (rare) slow hours at the brewery. Gosset published 21 articles - 14 in Biometrika -
and every one of them was distributed to the Guinness Board and Managing Director.
Why was he called "Student"? The Guinness rule was: don't mention Guinness, don't mention beer, and don't
mention your own surname. Secrecy was standard practice for British and Irish companies protecting proprietary rights.
(Other Guinness researchers appearing in Biometrika include "Sophister" and "Mathetes".) We don't know
for sure why Gosset chose "Student" for a pen name but as I note in my book, the first notebook he used while
on sabbatical at UCL-Biometrika Lab in 1906 was called "The Student's Science Notebook" (Ziliak and McCloskey
2008, p. 213).
Here are some links of possible interest:
https://blogs.roosevelt.edu/sziliak/guinnessometrics-in-pictures/https://blogs.roosevelt.edu/sziliak/cult-of-statistical-significance/Best,
Steve
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Stephen Ziliak
Professor of Economics
Roosevelt University (Chicago)
Conjoint Professor of Business and Law
University of Newcastle (Australia)
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Original Message:
Sent: 01-02-2018 14:50
From: Malcolm Sherman
Subject: Gosset & Guinness
Having very recently visited the 6 (or so) story Guinness factory (or Storehouse) in Dublin I was disappointed to find that the displayed extended history of the firm makes no mention of WS Gosset. One would suppose that they would want visitors to know a major scientist had worked at Guinness and that quality control issues for beer provided the motivation and the setting for a major advance in statistics. The ASA ought to bring this omission to their attention.
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Malcolm Sherman
S.U.N.Y.-Albany
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